Top Strategies
Five rules-based strategies that indicate when to hold Bitcoin and when to hold cash. Every trade since 2019, compared with buy & hold and DCA (dollar cost average).
One basic strategy is free to view. unlocks two stronger strategies, with alerts when they buy or sell. unlocks all five, including our best performers, plus the Master Strategy and trade log downloads.
Strategies
Ranked at launch (Oct 2026) on return, drawdown and consistency since 2019. Results update daily at 06:00 UK.
The best performers are in Pro, then Advanced, then Free. Results update daily at 06:00 UK.
Hypothetical backtested results, not actual trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Fundamentals Strategy
Network recovery with miner and trend context
BTC price with every buy and sell, log scale
What $10,000 invested on 1 Jan 2019 would be worth, log scale
Hypothetical backtested results, not actual trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Calendar year returns, 2026 year to date
The model account buys with all available cash when AASI crosses back above its lower band, and either Puell Multiple was below 0.5 in the last 30 days or price is above its 200 day average.
The model account sells everything when AASI crosses back below its upper band, and either Puell Multiple was above 2 in the last 30 days or price is below its 200 day average.
Votes tell our analysts what you find useful and shape what we build next.
See the current position, full rules and every trade for our best performing strategies
Advanced unlocks two more strategies and strategy alerts. Pro unlocks all five, including our best performers at launch, plus the combined Master Strategy and the full trade logs as CSV.
Strategy alerts
Receive an email alert the moment a strategy you can access buys or sells.
Master Strategy
All five strategies run side by side as one account, $2,000 each, with no rebalancing between them.
Full trade logs
Pro exclusiveEvery buy and sell for each strategy, with fill price, size, fees and realised profit, as a CSV download. Available on .
Recent model account trades
What should we test next?
Vote for the metric combination you want backtested.
If the most voted combination beats buy and hold, it may be added alongside the existing five.
How the backtests work
Every strategy is a fixed set of published rules, locked on 22 Sep 2026. No discretionary calls, no leverage, no shorting.
Signals are read on the daily close and filled two days later, with 0.1% fees and 0.1% slippage on every trade.
Each strategy is run from 1 Jan of every year 2019 to 2025. The leaderboard shows how many of those seven starts beat holding.
Unlock more strategies and alerts
Advanced adds two more strategies with their current positions, full rules and every trade since 2019, plus an email alert the moment a strategy's model account buys or sells. Pro unlocks everything.
Cancel anytime. Hypothetical backtested results, not financial advice.
About Top Strategies
Top Strategies is a set of five rules-based Bitcoin strategies built by Look Into Bitcoin. Each one combines two or three of our onchain and macro metrics into fixed buy and sell rules, then runs those rules every day. The strategies are not predictions or recommendations. They are a transparent way to see what a disciplined, data-driven approach to Bitcoin would have done, and what it is doing now.
Every strategy is backtested from 1 January 2019 in two ways: a single $10,000 investment, and $100 a month. Both are measured against the simplest alternative, which is buying and holding Bitcoin for the lump sum, or dollar cost averaging for the monthly saver. Trades fill two days after a signal, with fees and slippage included, and there is no leverage or shorting.
We show the full history because a headline return means little on its own. Each strategy's maximum drawdown, its year by year results, and whether it beat holding from seven different start years are all on the page, and Pro members can download every trade.
The rules were locked on 22 September 2026 and do not change. The strategies you see, and the plan each belongs to, are fixed. If a rule ever has to be corrected, the change is dated and shown here.
Nothing on this page is financial advice. Backtested results are hypothetical, exclude tax, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Any information on this site, including strategies and strategy alerts, is not to be considered as financial advice. Strategies are hypothetical models for educational purposes, have inherent limitations, and do not represent actual trading. Please review the Disclaimer section for more information. Look Into Bitcoin, all rights reserved.